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Weekly Freight Pulse: Court Certifies $30B IEEPA Refund Class, Carriers Blank 39 Sailings

Weekly Executive Briefing · Key Takeaways

Top Market Intelligence for US Importers

The Court of International Trade has established a single refund route for $30 billion in unpaid IEEPA duties, opening recovery options for importers that never sued.

While Dedola notes blank sailings keeping transpacific rates firm, gCaptain reports decelerating import volumes that could expand shipper rate leverage amid Gulf storm disruptions.

Dedola AnalysisOct 9, 2026

Trade Court Certifies Class for $30B in Unpaid IEEPA Tariff Refunds

The US Court of International Trade certified a class of importers that paid tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act between Feb. 1, 2025, and Feb. 19, 2026. After the Supreme Court ruled the tariffs illegal in February, CBP refunded over $100 billion of roughly $166 billion collected through its CAPE portal. The class offers a route toward the remaining $30 billion, aiding small importers who skipped CAPE, while excluding over 4,000 parties with separate lawsuits. Certification does not trigger payment. The full analysis details how to pull ACE reports, sort unliquidated from finally liquidated entries, and navigate the Oct. 22 scheduling deadline.

Tariffs and Customs

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Dedola AnalysisOct 7, 2026

Capacity Uncertainty Continues: Post-Golden Week Blank Sailings

Ocean carriers have blanked 39 East-West sailings across Weeks 41 to 45, spanning October 5 to November 8, 2026. This represents 5% of 710 scheduled voyages, with half of the cancellations concentrated on the transpacific trade, one-third on Asia-Europe, and the remainder on the transatlantic. While this reduction remains below the typical 10% historical baseline recorded since January 2020, carrier capacity management has supported strong transpacific spot rates over the past two months. As Chinese factories reopen after Golden Week, unmanaged forwarder bookings are expected to roll pre-holiday cargo. The full analysis details corridor-specific capacity shifts, landed cost exposures, and recommended booking buffers.

Blank Sailings and CapacityRetail and Consumer GoodsConsumer Electronics

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Also this week in freight

Oct 8, 2026 · Industry Brief

U.S. Container Imports Slow After Stronger-Than-Expected Summer

The Global Port Tracker from NRF and Hackett Associates shows US containerized imports decelerating after an extended summer peak, accompanied by stabilizing retail inventories ahead of Q4. Softer inbound volumes should relieve terminal congestion at major gateways. For US importers, this decline in volume provides increased leverage on Transpacific ocean spot rates and vessel space allocations.

Import Demand and VolumesRetail and Consumer GoodsConsumer Electronics

Source: gCaptain Maritime

Oct 8, 2026 · Industry Brief

Hurricane Isaias: Category 3 Threat to Gulf & Supply Chain

Hurricane Isaias is strengthening toward Category 3 status in the Gulf of Mexico, threatening Gulf ports with vessel traffic suspensions, terminal closures, and inbound intermodal embargoes. The storm system has also triggered a surge in Southeast diesel prices. Containers bound for Houston face expected vessel delays and post-storm backlogs, leaving importers to manage demurrage costs and free-time extensions.

Port and Rail CongestionRetail and Consumer GoodsConsumer Electronics

Source: FreightWaves

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